When will AI be smarter than any human (AGI/ASI)?

“Capable of doing anything a human with a computer can do, but not smarter than all humans and computers combined. That’s probably three to five years away. Grok 5 will be better at AI engineering (called “research” by the pompous) than @karpathy, for example.”

— Elon Musk, 18 October 2025 · Post on X ↗