Prediction
“SpaceX has a chance of going about half the GW next year of actually usable compute.
“Actually usable” is an important metric. It takes us ~2 months working 24/7 to get a large compute cluster working reliably. I’d guess closer to 6 months for others.”
— Elon Musk, 11 November 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Actually, we’re aiming for 1TW/year from Earth, rising to over 1PW/year from the Moon.
That’s why I say that if we achieve this outcome, SpaceX will obviously be worth more than Earth, because space is so staggeringly enormous!”
— Elon Musk, 11 November 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“33 engines means we can lose a few and still complete the mission.
Also, beyond a certain physical size, parts fabrication and transport become much more expensive.”
— Elon Musk, 9 November 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“It works both ways, of course. If compute becomes plentiful and cheap, SpaceX revenue will drop.
No crying in the casino for either party.”
— Elon Musk, 9 November 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Information traveling through space in our solar system will ultimately exceed current Earth traffic by a trillion trillion times. People have no idea.”
— Elon Musk, 7 November 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“~100 lasers per satellite, each operating above 10 Tb/s, with over 100k satellites should be able to outcompete undersea cables.
Speed of light in space is ~40% faster than cable and the path is direct, instead of following the outline of land masses.”
— Elon Musk, 6 November 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“When we unveil the details of the Starmind computer next year, it will blow people’s minds”
— Elon Musk, 6 November 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“SpaceX revenue this quarter alone will be substantially higher than NASA’s entire annual budget!”
— Elon Musk, 6 November 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Tesla has no government contracts and President Trump ended federal incentives for electric vehicles.
SpaceX contracts with the government are BOTH the best product AND the lowest price! Moreover government revenue will be less than 10% of SpaceX revenue this quarter and less then 5% a year from now.
Happy to cancel any that the government doesn’t want. Just say the word!”
— Elon Musk, 6 November 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Free new dish for all early Starlink customers…”
— Elon Musk, 4 November 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Our capex efficiency is greatly underestimated”
— Elon Musk, 1 November 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“Terrestrial compute will be peanuts compared to orbital compute.
Orbital compute deployed per month probably exceeds terrestrial around the end of 2028 and then far exceeds it in 2029.”
— Elon Musk, 31 October 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“10k Starship launches/year is just from Starbase Louisiana…”
— Elon Musk, 28 October 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“That’s way too high. Actual number will be more like 6 to 8.”
— Elon Musk, 22 October 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“We have a shot at exceeding 10GW next year”
— Elon Musk, 22 October 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“As crazy as this sounds, $1T in SpaceX revenue in 2028 is no longer impossible…”
— Elon Musk, 20 October 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Success is not certain, but excitement is
The new Tesla Roadster is a candidate for greatest product demo of all time…
New Roadster is beyond movies, beyond imagination, beyond human, yet still made by humans on Earth”
— Elon Musk, 16 October 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“SpaceX Starlink enables precise navigation without the need for GPS satellites”
— Elon Musk, 16 October 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“Old friends are the best friends. Jensen rocks. The Star Mind computer being co-engineered by SpaceX and Nvidia is far better than almost anyone expects and will reach volume production next year. Working with the incredibly talented Nvidia engineering team is pure joy!”
— Elon Musk, 15 October 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“…you're able to harness a lot more of the sun's power in space than you can on Earth…”
— Elon Musk, 10 October 2026 · Watch: Elon Musk: What Comes Next for Humanity (Tesla Owners Silicon Valley) · 28:36 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Thank you on behalf of the amazing people of SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink and Boring Company, without whom anything I have done would have been impossible…”
— Elon Musk, 8 October 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Also, Starlink has proven to be essential for saving lives during natural disasters throughout the world, when all other communications systems have failed, so you would also be helping save men, women and children throughout India. 🇮🇳
Starlink saves lives during natural disasters…
Starlink brings Internet access to remote places…”
— Elon Musk, 8 October 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Important note regarding Grok @Bot:
Going forward, @SpaceX will use the best back end model for any given task, including Claude Opus 5.5, MidJourney, Suno and other leading APIs.
Whatever is most likely to give you the best outcome.”
— Elon Musk, 7 October 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“Robotaxi operating hours moved from 10pm to 11pm.
The main thing we’re trying to solve is making sure that we don’t run over pets when they’re hard to see at night. Literally trying to avoid grey kittens on grey tarmac in the dark.”
— Elon Musk, 3 October 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Starship will deliver somewhere between 1M and 10M tons per year to orbit.
Even if non-SpaceX tonnage to orbit were to triple, it would still be less than 0.1% of what SpaceX plans to do.”
— Elon Musk, 17 September 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Starbase Louisiana will ultimately have over a dozen launch towers, enabling more than 30 Starship flights per day and making it the biggest launch site on Earth!
SpaceX makes sci-fi real.”
— Elon Musk, 25 August 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Moonbase Alpha will be so cool. And we want to make it so that anyone can go to the Moon if they want.
Starship can enable a permanently crewed science station on the Moon, which would be super cool! Moonbase Alpha!!”
— Elon Musk, 11 August 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“I mean, I, like, I need to have sufficient voting control in the companies to, you know, still be in charge. So it’s the, you know, my sort of so-called wealth is simply a percentage ownership in the, in the, in SpaceX and Tesla essentially, and this is going to be taxed quite heavily, and there’s not some magical way to avoid taxes. If, if it were, I would know about it. So, you know, at the end of the day, the, this will get whittled down, and a few generations from now, so if money still matters, which I don’t think it will, you know, my descendants would have a tiny fraction of what I have.”
— Elon Musk, 6 August 2026 · Watch: YouTube (22:05) ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“…we can't talk about, you know, combining companies, that kind of thing on an. It's got to be done with the appropriate process.”
— Elon Musk, 22 July 2026 · Watch: Tesla Q2 2026 earnings call · 45:24 ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“Starlink with its ability to do connectivity anywhere is actually quite important…”
— Elon Musk, 22 July 2026 · Watch: Tesla Q2 2026 earnings call · 47:00 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Q1 tonnage to orbit by launch provider.
Once Starship is flying hourly, SpaceX’s mass to orbit will be about 100 times more than everyone else combined, even if they triple their current launch rate.”
— Elon Musk, 19 June 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“There is obviously no “degree” you can get from a university that actually teaches you how to make an orbital rocket, as none of the professors know how to do it!”
— Elon Musk, 6 June 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Something that perhaps isn’t clear is that, if this location works out (other locations are still in the running), SpaceX will still be paying an annual amount that increases tax revenue for Grimes County by ~25% and will be by far the biggest source of revenue for the county.”
— Elon Musk, 4 June 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Mostly true. What matters is securing the long-term future of consciousness, both on Earth and other heavenly bodies.
We cannot just focus on Earth, because there are irreducible external (eg massive meteor) and internal (eg global nuclear war) cataclysmic risks.
The Moon is faster to make self-growing, but is more susceptible to problems on Earth. Mars will take longer to make self-growing, because it is so hard to reach, but is more secure from Earth disasters for that same reason.
Both the Moon and Mars should have self-growing civilizations. Making this happen is the prime directive of SpaceX.”
— Elon Musk, 26 May 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Our goal is launching Starship >10k/year, which would be more than once an hour. Probably over 200 tons of useful load to a useful orbit per flight by then.”
— Elon Musk, 24 May 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“So I'm confident actually that SpaceX will get to 10 million tons to orbit per year.”
— Elon Musk, 21 March 2026 · Watch: Terafab Launch (2026) · 8:43 ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“𝕏 Money early public access will launch next month”
— Elon Musk, 10 March 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“The priority shift is because I’m worried that a natural or manmade catastrophe stops the resupply ships coming from Earth, causing the colony to die out.
We can make the Moon city self-growing in less than 10 years, but Mars will take 20+ years due to the 26 month iteration cycle.
That is what matters most.
There is also an AI bonus element, but the prime directive must be ensuring the long-term survival of consciousness.”
— Elon Musk, 9 February 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“We’re still going to Mars and the timeframe for building a self-growing city there is still about the same at 20 to 30 years.
It’s possible that revenue from lunar activities might actually accelerate Mars.”
— Elon Musk, 9 February 2026 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“Making a fully reusable orbital rocket of any design is one of the hardest engineering problems of all time.
Much, much harder than going to the Moon, which is why it still hasn’t been solved.
I am cautiously optimistic that Starship will achieve full reusability next year.
The other critical technology, albeit much easier, is orbital refilling. If fortune favors us, that will also be achieved next year.
Then consciousness and life as we know it can extend to the planets and hence to the stars.”
— Elon Musk, 22 August 2025 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“I might be late, but I always deliver in the end
From impossible to late…
I think I do have like an issue with, uh, time.
…would not have probably done cars or rockets.
I am trying to recalibrate as much as possible.”
— Elon Musk, 14 August 2025 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“…a rapidly reusable reliable rocket with orbital refilling. Basically all of the ingredients necessary to make life mult multilanetary will be achieved with version three of Starship which we're aiming to launch for the first time at the end of this year.”
— Elon Musk, 29 May 2025 · Watch: SpaceX Starship Update (Starbase, May 29, 2025) · 26:23 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“…it's possible that Starlink may go public at some point in the future…”
— Elon Musk, 20 May 2025 · Watch: FULL: Elon Musk Live from the Qatar Economic Forum | Elon, Inc. · 12:47 ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“That’s one of the benefits of Mars, is life insurance for life collectively… So, eventually, all life on Earth will be destroyed by the sun. The sun is gradually expanding, and so we do at some point need to be a multiplanet civilization, because Earth will be incinerated.”
— Elon Musk, May 2025 · Space.com ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“The Starlink global communications system was built to fund that goal, which is why there is a Mars transfer orbit diagram on the Starlink Internet router.”
— Elon Musk, 26 April 2025 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“Starship departs for Mars at the end of next year, carrying Optimus.”
— Elon Musk, 15 March 2025 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“…we literally designed and made a lidar to dock the space station. If I thought it was the right solution for cars, I would do that. But it isn't.”
— Elon Musk, 29 January 2025 · Watch: Tesla Q4 and full year 2024 earnings call (2025) · 1:00:48 ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“Starship is now more than twice as powerful as the Saturn V Moon rocket and, in a year or so, it will be three times as powerful at 10,000 metric tons of thrust.
More importantly, it is designed to be fully reusable, burning ~80% liquid oxygen and ~20% liquid methane (very low cost propellant).
This enables cost per ton to orbital space to be ~10,000% lower than Saturn V.
Starship is the difference between being a multiplanet or single planet civilization.
Building a new world on Mars is now possible.”
— Elon Musk, 7 November 2024 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“The tower has caught the rocket!!
Science fiction without the fiction part.
Ship landed precisely on target! Second of the two objectives achieved.”
— Elon Musk, 13 October 2024 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“The other crucial element, for missions beyond Earth, is orbital refilling. This requires docking with ourselves for propellant transfer, which is far easier than docking with the Space Station, something we already do several times a year.”
— Elon Musk, 24 September 2024 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“I think we'd need to have a shareholder approval of any such investment, but I'm certainly supportive of that if shareholders are.”
— Elon Musk, 23 July 2024 · Watch: Tesla Q2 2024 earnings call (2024) · 26:22 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“That was not the founding of SpaceX.
We were in Russia to negotiate buying some ICBMs and converting them to launch a philanthropic mission to Mars.
I later came to realize that the problem wasn’t the will to go to Mars – there is plenty of public interest – but rather that massive advancements were needed in rocket technology.”
— Elon Musk, 21 June 2024 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“I’ve not seen any evidence of aliens… And SpaceX, with the Starlink constellation, has roughly 6,000 satellites, and not once have we had to maneuver around a UFO… Never. So I’m like, okay, I don’t see any evidence of aliens.”
— Elon Musk, 6 May 2024 · Space.com ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“So kind of like aws, but distributed inference, like it takes a lot of computers to train an AI model, but many orders of magnitude less compute to run it.”
— Elon Musk, 23 April 2024 · Watch: Tesla Q1 2024 earnings call (2024) · 24:15 ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“I would be surprised if we aren't if it takes us longer than the middle of next year to roll out payments.”
— Elon Musk, 21 December 2023 · Watch: X Spaces with Cathie Wood (ARK Invest) (2023) · 24:07 ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“…if something were to take down Earth civilization, then it's less likely to take, take out a Mars civilization because Earth and Mars are only in the same quadrant of the solar system, you know, for six months, every two years.”
— Elon Musk, 21 December 2023 · Watch: X Spaces with Cathie Wood (ARK Invest) (2023) · 1:31:56 ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“I mean at SpaceX we never think about the quarter, we never think about it and we don't think about the stock price.”
— Elon Musk, 21 December 2023 · Watch: X Spaces with Cathie Wood (ARK Invest) (2023) · 34:49 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“…we will respond to FISA requests, but we're not going to rubber stamp it any like it used to be.”
— Elon Musk, 14 July 2023 · Watch: xAI launch X Spaces (2023) · 37:10 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“…sorry for the inconvenience of the rate limiting but it was either that or Twitter doesn't work…”
— Elon Musk, 14 July 2023 · Watch: xAI launch X Spaces (2023) · 17:33 ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“So there's two choices. Either be a spectator or a participant. And as a spectator, one can't do much to influence the outcome.”
— Elon Musk, 14 July 2023 · Watch: xAI launch X Spaces (2023) · 42:55 ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“…the truth is not a popularity contest. But if one trains on like, you know, sort of what the most likely word is that follows another word from a data, from an Internet data set, then there's obviously, that's a pretty major problem in that it will give you an answer that is popular but wrong.”
— Elon Musk, 14 July 2023 · Watch: xAI launch X Spaces (2023) · 48:03 ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“…opening eyes strayed quite, you know, really in the opposite direction from its sort of founding charter, which is again, very ironic.”
— Elon Musk, 14 July 2023 · Watch: xAI launch X Spaces (2023) · 42:09 ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“…some kind of. Yeah, regulatory authority. That's international. Obviously enforcement is, is. Is difficult, but I think we should still aspire to do something in this regard.”
— Elon Musk, 14 July 2023 · Watch: xAI launch X Spaces (2023) · 25:44 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“My prediction is that we will go from an extreme silicon shortage today to probably voltage transformer shortage in about a year and then an electricity shortage a year in two years.”
— Elon Musk, 14 July 2023 · Watch: xAI launch X Spaces (2023) · 29:52 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“…the biggest counterargument that I get for regulating AI in the west is that AI is that China will not regulate.”
— Elon Musk, 14 July 2023 · Watch: xAI launch X Spaces (2023) · 24:53 ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“Obviously any relationship with Tesla has to be an arm's length transaction…”
— Elon Musk, 14 July 2023 · Watch: xAI launch X Spaces (2023) · 32:01 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“…when I was in China recently, meeting with some of the senior leadership there, I took pains to emphasize the importance of AI regulation. I believe they took that to heart, and they are going to do that.”
— Elon Musk, 14 July 2023 · Watch: xAI launch X Spaces (2023) · 24:38 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“…the path to AGI is something like that is self generated content where it effectively plays…”
— Elon Musk, 14 July 2023 · Watch: xAI launch X Spaces (2023) · 18:52 ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“…this thing kind of works and we're going to solve the issues that are remaining and we'll get it to orbit and we'll make it reusable.”
— Elon Musk, 29 April 2023 · Watch: Starship flight 1 debrief X Spaces (2023) · 46:48 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“20 to 30 years from first human landing if launch rate growth is exponential… Assumes transferring ~100k each rendezvous and ~1M total people needed.”
— Elon Musk, 15 July 2022 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Starlink service is now active in Ukraine. More terminals en route.”
— Elon Musk, 26 February 2022 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“If a severe global recession were to dry up capital availability / liquidity while SpaceX was losing billions on Starlink & Starship, then bankruptcy, while still unlikely, is not impossible.
GM & Chrysler went BK last recession.
“Only the paranoid survive.” – Grove …”
— Elon Musk, 30 November 2021 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“I think it's not that it's not that far away. I think probably 2 years from now…”
— Elon Musk, 17 November 2021 · Watch: NASEM Space Studies Board · 39:44 ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“Full & rapid reusability is the holy grail of orbital rocketry
Starship is designed to be 100% reusable and ultimately be ready to refly within an hour of landing. This is the key to becoming a multiplanet civilization.
No one would buy a single-use airplane, car or even bicycle! You’d need to tow another car just for the return trip 🤣”
— Elon Musk, 20 October 2021 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“I’m actually making history tonight as the first person with Asperger’s to host SNL.
I don’t always have a lot of intonation or variation in how I speak... which I’m told makes for great comedy.
I know I sometimes say or post strange things, but that’s just how my brain works. To anyone I’ve offended, I just want to say, I reinvented electric cars and I’m sending people to Mars in a rocket ship. Did you think I was also going to be a chill normal dude?”
— Elon Musk, 8 May 2021 · Watch: SNL video (0:48) ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Creating the city of Starbase, Texas
Starbase, Texas / Is now a real city!”
— Elon Musk, 2 March 2021 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“This is the holy grail of rocketry. So no one has ever succeeded in creating a fully reusable rocket. It can't just be fully reusable. It needs to be rapidly reusable.”
— Elon Musk, 31 January 2021 · Watch: Clubhouse conversation (The Good Time Show) (2021) · 3:58 ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“We’re going to try to catch the Super Heavy Booster with the launch tower arm, using the grid fins to take the load.
Saves mass & cost of legs & enables immediate repositioning of booster on to launch mount — ready to refly in under an hour.
Legs would certainly work, but best part is no part, best step is no step.”
— Elon Musk, 30 December 2020 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Felt I had done enough on the Internet (Zip2 & PayPal) that my work would be useful to others. Needed to get going on accelerating sustainable energy & making life multiplanetary.
Started Zip2 with ~$2k & ~$100k of student debt, rolled proceeds into X/PayPal, rolled proceeds again into SpaceX/Tesla…”
— Elon Musk, 19 September 2020 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“SpaceX rockets are 80% reusable, theirs are 0%. This is the actual problem.”
— Elon Musk, 11 April 2020 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Yeah, about $35k with shipping & taxes”
— Elon Musk, 4 April 2020 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Yeah, SpaceX is working on ventilators too”
— Elon Musk, 20 March 2020 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“SpaceX Foundry is used exclusively for advanced alloys/shapes for Raptor, incl our superalloy, SX500”
— Elon Musk, 23 September 2019 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“We see this as a way for SpaceX to generate revenue that can be used to develop more and more advanced rockets and spaceships… We believe we can use the revenue from Starlink to fund Starship.”
— Elon Musk, 15 May 2019 · CNBC ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Very dependent on volume, but I’m confident moving to Mars (return ticket is free) will one day cost less than $500k & maybe even below $100k. Low enough that most people in advanced economies could sell their home on Earth & move to Mars if they want.”
— Elon Musk, 11 February 2019 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“…that window of opportunity may be open for a long time or it may be open for a short time but we should not assume that it is open for a long time we should take action and become a multi planet civilization as soon as possible…”
— Elon Musk, 17 September 2018 · Watch: SpaceX BFR Lunar Mission Announcement · 26:53 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Should prob articulate philosophy underlying my actions. It’s pretty simple & mostly influenced by Douglas Adams & Isaac Asimov.
Foundation Series & Zeroth Law are fundamental to creation of SpaceX
I love Banks. Best books in recent years imo are Iain Banks & George Martin.
The future is a set of branching probability streams. Some actions by humanity have an extremely leveraged effect on shape & size of those streams.”
— Elon Musk, 15 June 2018 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“Correct, pure electric. Wish orbital rockets could be so too, but there’s no escaping Newton’s Third Law. SpaceX is already developing high efficiency CO2 capture with H2O to form liquid CH4 (methane) & O2. Critical for propellant production at Mars Base Alpha.”
— Elon Musk, 10 June 2018 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“It’s just literally a normal car in space — I kind of like the absurdity of that… It’s kind of silly and fun, but I think that silly, fun things are important…
I think the imagery of it is something that’s going to get people excited around the world, and it’s still tripping me out.”
— Elon Musk, 6 February 2018 · Watch: Falcon Heavy Post-Launch Press Conference ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“We can't have too many direct shareholders or we're required to become a public co. Will check if possible through a feeder fund though.”
— Elon Musk, 25 July 2017 · Post on X ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“We might get there this year but I think if not this year I'm confident we'll get to next year.”
— Elon Musk, 31 March 2017 · Watch: SpaceX SES-10 Press Conference · 10:28 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“…if we can get the cost of moving to Mars to be roughly equivalent to a median house price in the U.S., which is around $200,000, then I think the probability of establishing a self-sustaining civilization is very high.”
— Elon Musk, 27 September 2016 · Watch: IAC 2016 — Making Humans a Multiplanetary Species · 8:31 ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“Well, in approximately two years, we'll be transporting NASA astronauts to the space station.”
— Elon Musk, 2 September 2015 · Watch: The Late Show with Stephen Colbert · 3:30 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“…like on rockets for example one could say oh you know that you could Reason by analogy and say the Rocket's going to cost a certain amount because that's what prior Rockets have cost or you can say well what is a rocket made of what the material constituents what are those M what do they weigh what's the cost per unit mass and that sets the limit ASM totically for what a rocket can be so if you can figure out some creative way to rearrange those elements into a rocket shape then you can achieve a much better outcome that's the first principles approach…”
— Elon Musk, 8 October 2014 · Watch: Elon Musk | Vanity Fair New Establishment Summit 2014 · 30:06 ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“…the Air Force paid an average of $380 million for each national security launch…”
— Elon Musk, 5 March 2014 · Watch: U.S. Senate Hearing on National Security Space Launch · 20:12 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“I remember waking up the Sunday before Christmas in 2008, and thinking to myself, ‘Man, I never thought I was someone who could ever be capable of a nervous breakdown,’ but I felt, ‘This is the closest I’ve ever come.’…
I couldn’t even hold the phone, I just blurted out, ‘I love you guys.’…”
— Elon Musk, March 2014 · Watch: 60 Minutes video (8:25) ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“…history fundamentally bifurcates in one of two directions. Either we are a multi planet species and out there exploring the stars, or we are a single planet species waiting around…”
— Elon Musk, 24 October 2013 · Watch: BBC Newsnight (2013) · 5:00 ↗ · In the archive
Opinion
“It’s the first time in four and a half billion years that we are at a level of technology where we have the ability to reach Mars.
The sun is gradually expanding… the oceans will boil and there will be no meaningful life on Earth.
…space travel is the best thing we can do to extend the life of humanity.
I’d like to die on Mars, just not on impact.”
— Elon Musk, 9 March 2013 · Watch: SXSW video (42:36) ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“I don't think that if this mission just doesn't get all the way there that it should be taken as a verdict on Commercial Crew transport…”
— Elon Musk, 16 April 2012 · Watch: Dragon COTS Demo Flight Briefing · 1:01:15 ↗ · In the archive
Fact
“…if you can reduce the cost of a flight to Mars or moving to Mars to around the cost of a middle-class home in California…”
— Elon Musk, 29 September 2011 · Watch: National Press Club Luncheon · 24:43 ↗ · In the archive
Prediction
“…it'll take us about 2 years maybe at the outside three to develop and qualify the launch escape system…”
— Elon Musk, 29 September 2011 · Watch: National Press Club Luncheon · 40:26 ↗ · In the archive